时间：2024-09-23 08:29:27 来源：American news

North Korea's leader Kim Jong-un and U.S. President Donald Trump hold a meeting for the second North Korea-U.S. summit at the Sofitel Legend Metropole hotel in Hanoi, in this February 28, 2019, photo. A year has passed since the end of the summit, but the denuclearization talks between the countries are showing few sign of progress. AFP-Yonhap

By Jung Da-min

A year has passed since U.S. President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un met in Hanoi in late February 2019. Expectations had been high on the progress of denuclearization talks before their second summit, but the breakdown in negotiations created a deadlock that has lasted one year.

North Korea experts say that such a stalemate is likely to continue this year as well, as the United States is gearing up for the presidential election scheduled in November. They state that there is little chance of another summit when Trump is focusing on the presidential race.

Koh Yu-hwan, a professor of North Korean Studies at Dongguk University, said both North Korea and the U.S. know that the denuclearization negotiations will be protracted. He said the U.S. government is not in a position where it could present a new calculation North Korea is asking for unless Ppyongyang changes its stance, which is far from Kim's New Year announcement that emphasized self-reliance.

Joint military drills postponed due to virus fears 2020-02-27 16:01  |  Defense
"North Korea has announced an all-out fight against U.S. sanctions by pursuing self-reliance saying it would be a protracted war," Koh said. "For the U.S. side, if North Korea does not aggravate the situation, Trump is likely to present the moratorium on nuclear and missile tests and the status quo as his achievement in North Korea policy … Washington knows Pyongyang is not going to surrender when the election is coming up."

Cho Seong-ryoul, a senior adviser at the Institute for National Security Strategy, said recent personnel changes among officials of the U.S. Department of State who had been dealing with North Korea affairs showed that the Trump administration is not paying much attention to the North.

"There is a well-known proposition in the U.S. that diplomatic issues do not have significant effects in the presidential election," Cho said. "But the situation can be different for North Korea as they continue to suffer from the sanctions and they could stage new strategic weapons to use them as leverage for the denuclearization talks."

Cho said the timing of North Korea's possible staging of new weapons tests would be after South Korea's April 15 general election as it wants to watch the political situation in the South and see if Seoul and Washington conduct springtime joint drills and the scale of them.

Regarding the exercises, the militaries of South Korea and United States announced Wednesday that the combined command post training for the ROK-U.S. Combined Forces Command would be postponed until further notice amid the spreading COVID-19 epidemic.

"Since Trump has announced that there will be no new high-level nuclear negotiations with North Korea until after the U.S. presidential election which serves to prevent North Korea from interfering with U.S. elections. This delay also has a positive counter effect by not angering North Korea over combined military exercises, which the North believes is a direct threat," said Roland Wilson, co-director of the Peace and Conflict Studies Center Asia and program coordinator and assistant professor at the School for Conflict Analysis and Resolution on George Mason University's Korea Campus.

上一篇：Yes, big spiders are spreading in the U.S. No, they're not flying.
下一篇：广东超一半的北运淡水鱼来自这里！全链发力打响“南海鱼”金字招牌

• ·雨城区疾控中心提示：科学补碘 防治碘缺乏病
• ·青岛上半年直接融资719亿元 创历史最高水平
• ·鈥滈潚宀涘悕鐗屸€濋槦浼嶅皢缁х画鎵╁ 123涓搧鐗屽叆鍥確涓浗灞变笢缃慱闈掑矝
• ·广东农技服务“轻骑兵”：汇聚合力促冬种，服务一线保丰收
• ·Tesla Robotaxis aren't coming in August, it seems
• ·青岛联通职工代表巡视常态化促厂务公开
• ·向伟大祖国献礼 向忠诚履职的法院工作人员致敬
• ·济南消费者暑期喜旺行 赞喜旺烤肠美
• ·Abrar Ahmed returns as Pakistan names squad for second Test against Bangladesh
• ·新消法实施条例征求意见 购物将有新护身符
• ·创新扶贫产品销售体系 积极促进全市消费扶贫
• ·这一次，我们把最地道的新疆羊肉带来了｜ 南疆风物志⑤
• ·Value Judgment
• ·广东4人上榜！第六批全国农村创业优秀带头人典型案例公布
• ·传青岛百丽广场或关门易主 回应:未接到通知
• ·闈掑矝鏅鸿兘鍒堕€犲叆鍥村浗瀹惰閲 涓冮」鐩幏涓ぎ璐㈣ˉ